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DAL Mavericks @ MEM Grizzlies NBA betting predictions

Dallas Mavericks @ Memphis Grizzlies 04/18/2025

The stakes couldn’t be higher as the Memphis Grizzlies and Dallas Mavericks square off this Friday night in a do-or-die Play-In battle with a coveted playoff berth on the line. Tip-off is set for 9:30 p.m. ET at FedEx Forum, and it promises to be a heavyweight clash dripping with postseason intensity. The winner punches their ticket to the NBA Playoffs and a first-round date with the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder. The loser? They’ll be watching the postseason from the couch.

Memphis limps into this one after a rough outing against the Golden State Warriors in their opening Play-In appearance—a game that exposed some glaring holes on both ends of the floor. Meanwhile, Dallas rides a wave of momentum after outlasting the Sacramento Kings in a physical, grind-it-out win that showed just how dangerous this group can be when locked in.

History favors the Grizzlies, who’ve taken four of the last five matchups against Dallas, including some gritty, defensive-minded performances. But recent form tells another story, and with stars on both rosters capable of taking over a game, this one is wide open.

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Our betting predictions for the match Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks

Tip 1: Game Totals Under 222.5 Points

A solid primary betting option is to wager on the game total going under 222.5 points. Memphis has struggled offensively during its last few outings, and Dallas, while potent on offense, may find it challenging to break through the Grizzlies’ defense. With both teams transitioning into a slower-paced style recently, placing this bet at odds of -110 at DraftKings could yield positive results.

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Tip 2: Home Win for Memphis Grizzlies

Our second betting tip for this matchup is to back the Memphis Grizzlies to win at home. The Grizzlies showcase resilience playing in front of their home crowd, and with their recent head-to-head record against the Mavericks, they appear to have the upper hand. At best odds at BetMGM Sportsbook, this bet provides a favorable return, considering the Grizzlies’ recent form and their defensive strength.

Tip 3: Memphis Grizzlies (-6.5)

For those looking to bet against the spread, siding with the Memphis Grizzlies to cover the -6.5 spread makes sense. With their home-court advantage and superior recent performance against Dallas, they are poised to win convincingly. Current odds for this spread bet sit at -115 with BetMGM Sportsbook. This wager seems worthwhile considering Memphis’ history in these key matchups.

Team news

Memphis Grizzlies performance check

The Memphis Grizzlies, managed by Taylor Jenkins, have recently faced some challenges, including their Play-in loss to the Warriors. But, with a balanced roster led by star player Ja Morant, they have shown flashes of brilliance but have also struggled with consistency. After losing three of their last five matchups, Memphis will be looking to bounce back at home, and their recent head-to-head 132-97 win over Dallas proves they’re capable of dominance.

How is the current performance of Dallas Mavericks

On the other side, the Dallas Mavericks, under the leadership of Jason Kidd, are working tirelessly to find their book their Playoff spot. The Mavericks have alternated wins and losses over the past few games, including a decisive 120-106 win against the Kings in their first Play-in appearance that highlighted their offensive firepower, led by Luka Dončić. They’ll need to harness that momentum as they travel to Memphis, hoping to repeat their success against the Grizzlies from earlier this season.

Statistics

Last direct match:
The last time these two teams faced off was a decisive victory for Memphis, which triumphed 132-97 in what was a dominating performance at home.

Head-to-head last direct meetings:
In their last five meetings, Memphis holds a solid advantage with four wins against Dallas, showcasing the Grizzlies’ prowess in these encounters.

Performance last 5 matches
– Memphis Grizzlies: 2 wins, 0 ties, 3 losses
– Dallas Mavericks: 2 wins, 0 ties, 3 losses

Last match results:
– Memphis Grizzlies: 116-121 (Away loss to Golden State Warriors)
– Dallas Mavericks: 120-106 (Away win against Sacramento Kings)

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Conclusion

In summary, our betting tips for the Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks matchup focus on the home team taking the victory, coupled with a strong play on the game total landing under 222.5 points and Memphis covering the -6.5 point spread. Given the Grizzlies’ impressive historical record against the Mavericks and the factors heading into this game, these wagers seem favorable for both novice and seasoned bettors alike. Remember to do your research and find the best betting sites where you can play these promising odds.

About the author

I’m Baba Faiza, an experienced betting pro and sports analyst at TrustnBet.com, with over 10 years under my belt in predicting outcomes for Soccer, NBA, NFL, and NHL games. My strong background in Mathematics allows me to effectively apply analytical models and sports algorithms to decipher game patterns and make accurate forecasts. With data-driven insights and a deep understanding of team dynamics and betting markets, I’ve established myself as a trusted name in the industry. Whether uncovering trends or identifying valuable betting opportunities, I ensure bettors are equipped to make informed and strategic decisions.

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